It is easy to sign up for a handicapping service and fork out $50-$5000 a month for their picks, and it is easy to blame that same handicapper later if those picks turn out to be losers. The Lazy, easy and comfortable way is to blame someone else. Period.
I will let you in on a little secret: people who make money gambling do not use handicapping services. They choose their picks themselves. And if you plan to spend 5 minutes staring at the morning newspaper to do that – this article is not for you. There is no such thing as free lunch amigo and winning gamblers spend a good amount of time combining and calculating whatever variables they take into account to make their picks. No sweat – no bread.
Most people don’t understand baseball betting and many don’t get involved as they don’t have time to study teams, statistics, pitchers and all the information needed to be successful in baseball gambling. But hold on, the task is not as scary as it seems. Most sportsbooks are happy to simply break even during baseball season. I am surprised that more people are betting on football instead of baseball – it is so much harder to win.
Why would an online gambling site give you such valuable inside information you ask? It is in our interest that you lose money you would think… but not so. You see, if you become a better educated player, you will bet longer and generate us more juice. For us, the more, and the longer you play the better – we take commission on every bet.
Now down to business. Betting on baseball is one of the easiest ways to make money gambling as it’s one of the easiest sports to handicap – there is no point spread to beat – your team wins, your wager wins.
I will omit the basics of baseball here assuming that you know the sport, terminology and statistics involved.
In football and basketball, team vs. team handicapping is the key – but with baseball you have double the handicapping opportunity since both team and pitching match-ups can offer a winning edge.
Never play heavy favorites. Never bet on a team that is over -150 (some handicappers. Simple example at the grammar school arithmetic level would help here: player needs to win 40% of +150 dogs to break even vs. 60% of -150 favorites. If you predict that team has a 65% chance of winning and you bet it at -250 – forgetaboutit. Wins and losses are so irrelevant when betting on MLB.
You got to love big dogs in baseball.
Consider bullpen depth of the team if it’s line is close to -150. If a bullpen has over a 3.50 ERA, and the closer is struggling or giving up late runs, be extra careful.
Never bet action. Listed pitchers in your baseball picks only.
Never bet the run line (run line is essentially a point spread for baseball).
Never bet a favorite when that team is going for a series sweep.
Starting pitcher is not worth as much as you might think.
Home dogs are stronger.
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